Source– August 11, 2016 In its updated 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook, NOAA calls for a higher likelihood of a near-normal or above-normal season, and decreases the chance of a below-normal season to only 15 percent, from the initial outlook issued in May. The season is still expected to be the most active since 2012. Forecasters now expect a 70-percent chance of 12–17 named storms, of which 5–8 are expected to become hurricanes, including 2–4 major hurricanes. The initial outlook called for 10–16 named storms, 4–8 hurricanes, and 1–4 major hurricanes. The seasonal averages are 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.We’ve raised the numbers because some conditions now in place are indicative of a more active hurricane season, such as El Niño ending, weaker vertical wind shear and weaker trade winds over the central tropical Atlantic, and a stronger west African monsoon,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “However, less conducive ocean temperature patterns in both the Atlantic and eastern subtropical North Pacific, combined with stronger wind shear and sinking motion in the atmosphere over the Caribbean Sea, are expected to prevent the season from becoming extremely active.”
“Given these competing conditions, La Niña, if it develops, will most likely be weak and have little impact on the hurricane season,” added Bell. NOAA announced today that La Niña is slightly favored to develop during the hurricane season.
To date, there have been five named storms, including two hurricanes (Alex and Earl). Four made landfall: Bonnie (in South Carolina), Colin (in western Florida), Danielle (in eastern Mexico), and Earl (in Belize and Mexico).
Well fucking cock balls. You would think in 2016 we would have some technology super plane right now that can fly into eye of hurricanes and break it up so the entire eastern seaboard of the United States doesn’t get crippled by rain. Or better yet just have all the power lines running under ground so we don’t have to live in complete darkness and eating emergency rations because of a hurricane. How do we not have some sort of system that shoots all the flood waters into the oceans so my car wont have water up to its antennas completely totaled from water damage. Its been 10 fucking years since Katrina. We’ve gone from dial up modems to google fiber and HDtv with no wires and shit yet we haven’t at least tried to find away to beat hurricanes. You’d think after Hurricane Andrew they would come up with something better than to have shutters and to be prepares. Its absurd. And now we potentially got to deal with 8 of them? Fucking a quarter of a hurricane is enough of a hassle to shut off my DirecTV and start rationing apples in the fridge in case we can’t leave the house for a week and can’t cook. Fuck.